Kris Alingod – AHN News Contributor
Frankfort, KY, United States (AHN) – Two new polls are predicting victory for Republican candidate Rand Paul in Kentucky’s Senate race. The surveys come less than a week to go before elections, and a day after Paul’s supporters allegedly stomped on the head of a supporter of state Attorney General Jack Conway.
According to the latest Public Policy Polling survey, Paul leads his Democratic rival, 53 percent to 40 percent, up from a 7-point lead last month.
The Republican has an 11-point lead among whites and leads among all voter groups older than 29 years. But Conway has the support of 56 percent of moderates and 77 percent of blacks.
The Democrat, who served as deputy Cabinet secretary for former Gov. Paul Patton, also holds the support of 52 percent of voters younger than 30.
Paul has 49 percent of voters overall viewing him positively and 43 percent negatively, while 39 percent view Conway favorably and 52 percent unfavorably.
An eye surgeon and son of Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), the Republican candidate has gained popularity among independents, with 59 percent viewing him favorably and 31 unfavorably. Last month’s PPP survey showed Paul with a 43 percent-38 percent favorability ratio.
In contrast, Conway is viewed positively by 52 percent of moderates and 79 percent of liberals. The state attorney general is generally popular with traditionally Democratic groups such as blacks and minorities, but he remains unable to break his rival’s advantage in polls, which have fluctuated from statistically insignificant to double-digit leads.
PPP cites Conway’s “Aqua Buddha” television ad, which 56 percent of voters, including 54 percent of women, said was “inappropriate.”
The ad is based on a profile of Paul published by GQ in August. In the magazine article, a classmate of Paul at Baylor University described the the Republican candidate’s college days as a member of the NoZe Brotherhood, a secret society that was at one time banned by the university for “sacrilege.”
GQ also interviewed a former female student at the university who said Paul and a friend had forced her to smoke marijuana, had bound her hands and taken her to a creek in the countryside, where Paul told her to bow down and worship “Aqua Buddha” as her god.
“Why was Rand Paul a member of a secret society that called the Holy Bible ‘a hoax’ — that was banned for mocking Christianity and Christ?,” a narrator in Conway’s TV ad asks. “Why did Rand Paul once tie a woman up? Tell her to bow down before a false idol and say his God was ‘Aqua Buddha’?”
Paul came under fire this summer for arguing that drug addiction is “not a real pressing issue” and for refusing to say he would vote for the Civil Rights Act by arguing, “Does the owner of the restaurant own his restaurant? Or does the government own his restaurant?”
Conway thus had meant his Aqua Buddha ad as a warning to voters about what he said were Paul’s “extreme” beliefs, but questions were soon raised about whether Paul had kidnapped the female student, who later told the Washington Post that the TV spot had gone too far in portraying a college prank.
The Democrat’s strategy seems to have backfired, since PPP found that only 24 percent of Democrats approve of the ad.
A new Fox poll also found only 42 percent of voters saying they are concerned that Paul is “too extreme,” and 44 percent saying the Republican is not too extreme.
The same poll has Paul leading Conway in overall voter support, 50 percent to 43 percent, although 10 percent of all voters say they could change their mind before election day.
The surveys were released after a female MoveOn activist who tried to give Paul a mock award as the candidates debated was stomped on by the Republican candidate’s supporters. Footage of the violence showed several men holding the woman to the ground and then stomping on her head and neck.
The race for the seat of retiring incumbent Sen, Jim Bunning (R-KY) is still rated a tossup by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
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